By the Numbers: How Often Do Cops Kill?
How many people are killed by police? The numbers are interesting, but not illuminating.
Why are betting markets failing so hard this year?
Prediction markets persistently and wildly underestimated both Trump and Brexit.
By the Numbers: What about Terrorism in Eastern Europe?
Terrorism in Eastern Europe has had the opposite trend of Western Europe.
Does the US Have 35% Fewer Cops Than the World Average?
The Council of Economic Advisers says the US has 35% fewer police than the world average; really?!
America after Paris: 16 Dumb and Terrifying Ideas
Who’s to blame for Paris? Looks like Ed Snowden, every foreigner and Muslim, and the entire Bill of Rights.
Genetic Engineers Could End Animal Cruelty – If the FDA Let Them
Simple genetic modifications already exist to end de-horning and pig castration, but they’re illegal.
By the Numbers: Is the unemployment rate a “big lie”?
Jim Clifton, chairman and CEO of the polling company Gallup, published an opinion piece this week denouncing the official unemployment rate of 5.6% as a “big lie.” It’s a lie, he says, repeated to make the Obama administration look good and deceive Americans about the economy. “The media loves a comeback story,” he writes, “the White House wants to score … Continued
The Ante Hoc Fallacy
Whenever I argue with conspiracy theorists, I often run into a kind of logical fallacy that I’d like to dub the ante hoc fallacy. In the post hoc, ergo propter hoc (“after this, therefore because of this”) fallacy, the reasoner assumes that because one event follows another, the second was caused by the first. In the ante hoc (“before this”) fallacy, … Continued